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High School Graduate Projections


 

Minnesota High School Graduates to Peak in 2010

The number of high school graduates in Minnesota is projected to decline over the next seven years from 65,073 in 2010 to 59,727 by 2017, a drop of 5,346 students. From 2017 to 2023 the number of graduates is expected to increase slightly, but will remain below the 2010 number of graduates for the state. The high school graduate projections were developed by the Minnesota State Demographic Center for the Office of Higher Education.

Students of color will comprise a larger share of high school graduates in the future. The number of nonwhite graduates is projected to grow by 4,713 students, from 16 percent of all graduates in 2010 to 23 percent of all graduates in 13 years. During the same period, the number of white graduates is projected to decline 12 percent, or by 6,511 students.

More information on Minnesota high school graduate projections.

For high school graduation projections from other states, see Knocking at the College Door: Projections of High School Graduates by state and race/ethnicity. This report was published in October 2013, by the Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education (WICHE), ACT and the College Board.

The projection supplement includes Minneapolis/St. Paul metropolitan area projections.

Minnesota Projections by Race/Ethnicity and Gender, Minnesota Public and Private High School Graduates

School Year End American Indian Males American Indian Females Asian Males Asian Females Hispanic Males Hispanic Females Black Males Black Females Total Students of Color
20104515191,7371,6429379211,9541,95810,119
20114304751,5771,7149579461,9312,06810,099
20124254691,7241,6939939981,8691,98210,153
20134074451,7241,6781,0461,0131,7631,8959,971
20143994521,6521,7361,0771,0351,8931,91310,155
20153904691,7531,7631,1431,1231,8852,01910,545
20164094431,7851,8471,2921,2011,9332,10211,012
20174234691,7571,7891,2141,2861,9612,17511,076
20184064551,7921,9121,3681,3832,1372,25911,713
20194114932,0212,0771,4281,4002,2762,36712,473
20204424852,0822,1351,5631,5502,3772,52313,156
20214625062,2262,1651,5771,6292,3652,46813,397
20224845362,2572,3001,6411,6452,5152,58413,961
20234775522,3242,4101,8171,8272,7012,72314,832
 

 

Year White Males White Females Total White Total Males Total Females Total
201027,51727,43654,95432,59632,47765,073
201127,14727,16254,30832,04232,36564,407
201226,81726,63453,45131,82831,77663,604
201325,82725,89351,72030,76730,92461,691
201425,37225,36850,74130,39230,50460,896
201524,50324,70649,20929,67530,08059,754
201624,44524,59049,03529,86430,18360,047
201724,15424,49748,65129,51030,21759,727
201824,25624,26148,51729,95930,27060,229
201924,06024,18948,24930,19630,52660,722
202024,11124,20948,32030,57430,90361,477
202123,54423,66047,20430,17330,42760,601
202223,81024,25748,06730,70631,32362,028
202324,01624,42748,44331,33531,93963,274
 

Source: Minnesota State Demographic Center

 

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